Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.091883 3.431683 3.799430 4.227991 4.714943 5.252462 5.892663
2025-04-27 2.642333 3.107048 3.645643 4.319891 5.146782 6.134723 7.414783
2025-05-04 2.354769 2.889252 3.541089 4.402666 5.523628 6.949408 8.927166
2025-05-11 2.134947 2.709717 3.439915 4.448717 5.826985 7.674811 10.392494
2025-05-18 1.960287 2.559856 3.348343 4.479765 6.092603 8.357606 11.868298
2025-05-25 1.764942 2.358850 3.162331 4.352049 6.109402 8.676446 12.839215
2025-06-01 1.626262 2.220021 3.044443 4.301181 6.220320 9.130017 14.057309
2025-06-08 1.514575 2.107927 2.951649 4.272872 6.354136 9.622452 15.391007
2025-06-15 1.465628 2.080740 2.977176 4.420793 6.770271 10.599934 17.667032
2025-06-22 1.380049 1.991900 2.902089 4.402811 6.913845 11.139884 19.246032
2025-06-29 1.297258 1.900709 2.815351 4.356367 7.001707 11.588572 20.713781
2025-07-06 1.184226 1.755287 2.633450 4.138095 6.773318 11.451468 21.032893
2025-07-13 1.128668 1.697688 2.588981 4.149370 6.953796 12.086933 23.009260
2025-07-20 1.092485 1.668372 2.587804 4.234025 7.274214 13.022344 25.764734
2025-07-27 1.058199 1.639499 2.584640 4.313831 7.592412 13.990984 28.762132
2025-08-03 1.020256 1.601846 2.563507 4.358585 7.846994 14.862048 31.696169
2025-08-10 0.982809 1.562448 2.536219 4.388852 8.074879 15.704380 34.717738
2025-08-17 0.923009 1.481419 2.430981 4.264181 7.978531 15.841368 36.027045
2025-08-24 0.879729 1.426338 2.367946 4.214524 8.030073 16.306456 38.256278
2025-08-31 0.842940 1.380480 2.318447 4.186888 8.124320 16.878043 40.877185
2025-09-07 0.833351 1.381983 2.354831 4.331282 8.601393 18.397910 46.431598
2025-09-14 0.801853 1.342407 2.312691 4.313730 8.720354 19.078756 49.730022
2025-09-21 0.768741 1.298151 2.259098 4.268395 8.772000 19.600367 52.666188